Match Info

National League - Round 5

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	DAZN National League


	Harrogate Town		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.58	3.80	4.50
	1.55	3.95	5.1
	1.61	4.16	5.57
	1.65	4.05	4.64	Watch
	1.59	4.1	5.15
	1.61	3.98	5.11
	1.59	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	3.99 ↓ (4.12)	5.01 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
58.2%

Draw
23.2%

Gateshead
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

22.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

21.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Harrogate Town - Gateshead Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Watson R. (G) 24. Cass L. 4. Baptiste A. 5. Bradbury T. 6. Burrell W. 15. Hobson B. 14. Williams M. 3. Bristow E. 17. Hmami J. 11. McGowan W. 9. McCoulsky S.	12. Jameson P. (G) 38. Lewis-Burgess K. 24. Ferguson K. 5. Lankshear A. 6. Robinson J. 4. Home J. 17. Coyle R. 20. Fenton J. 21. Spellman M. 23. Chadwick B. 27. Eguaibor D.
Substitutes
29. Barnes L. 23. Dolaghan B. 26. Horton G. 35. McGuckin C. 1. Oxley M. (G) 22. Pimlott O. 7. Thomson G.	11. Anifowose J. 14. Boatswain A. 8. Bowen S. 31. Cameron D. (G) 3. Ferguson D. 19. Supyk L. 18. Williams B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bradbury T. ↓, Horton G. ↑,
46', Eguaibor D. ↓, Boatswain A. ↑,
46', Chadwick B. ↓, Supyk L. ↑,
46', 0 - 1, Jameson P. ⚽, Lewis-Burgess K. (A),
53', 1 - 1, Hmami J. ⚽, Baptiste A. (A),
58', Hmami J. 🟨,
60', Coyle R. ↓, Bowen S. ↑,
70', Hmami J. ↓, McGuckin C. ↑,
70', McGowan W. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Boatswain A. (Own goal),

Preview

Harrogate is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gateshead is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gateshead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Harrogate is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Harrogate	13	9	1	3	29:17	12	28
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8:31	-23	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English National League North
28.08.26	Aldershot Town - Harrogate Town	3:1 ✺
English National League
22.08.26	Harrogate Town - Barrow	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Wealdstone - Harrogate Town	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Harrogate Town - Solihull Moors	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Harrogate Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWWW
- Gateshead
English National League
28.08.26	Gateshead - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Yeovil Town - Gateshead	3:0 ✺
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Gateshead - Nottingham Forest U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Gateshead - Woking	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Eastleigh - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.23	Gateshead - Harrogate Town	2:0
23.07.19	Gateshead - Harrogate Town	1:0
English National League
22.04.19	Harrogate Town - Gateshead	2:0
04.09.18	Gateshead - Harrogate Town	2:3
Club Friendly
22.07.15	Harrogate Town - Gateshead	3:2

Harrogate Town - Gateshead: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide