Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 24 January 2023, Tuesday


	Gateshead		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.45
	5.25	4.1	1.47
	5.6	4.35	1.47
	5.4	4.4	1.48
	5.7	4.45	1.54
	5.8	4	1.47
	5.7	4.4	1.5
	5.6	4.4	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.63 ↑ (5.25)	4.33 ↑ (3.75)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
16.4%

Draw
21.3%

Wrexham
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

24.2%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

23.5%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Gateshead - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gateshead will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Wrexham will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 0.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Wrexham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Wrexham have a series of guest games.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Gateshead won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Gateshead - Oldham Athletic	3:1 ✺
English National League
07.01.23	Barnet - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
02.01.23	Gateshead - York City	2:2 ✺
26.12.22	York City - Gateshead	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Gateshead - Gloucester City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTTWW
- Wrexham AFC
English National League
21.01.23	Maidstone United - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.23	Altrincham - Wrexham	3:2 pen. ✺
English National League
10.01.23	Wrexham - Bromley	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Coventry City - Wrexham	3:4 ✺
English National League
02.01.23	Solihull Moors - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
30.08.22	Wrexham - Gateshead	3:1
23.02.19	Gateshead - Wrexham	1:1
03.11.18	Wrexham - Gateshead	3:1
30.01.18	Gateshead - Wrexham	0:0
15.08.17	Wrexham - Gateshead	1:0
11.03.17	Wrexham - Gateshead	0:2
29.10.16	Gateshead - Wrexham	2:2

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