Match Info

Championship - Round 45

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Coventry City		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.75	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.75	3.1
	1.9	3.93	3.69
	1.91	4.13	3.77
	1.96	3.84	3.54	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.6
	1.9	4.06	3.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.69)	3.89 ↓ (3.95)	3.57 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
49.2%

Draw
24.3%

Wrexham
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

23.6%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

22.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coventry City's form might have worsened.

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coventry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	6.9%	17.2%

Coventry City - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Wrexham will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Wrexham (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 16. Onyeka F. 6. Grimes M. (C) 23. Thomas-Asante B. 28. Eccles J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 11. Wright H.	21. Ward D. (G) 5. Hyam D. (C) 24. Scarr D. 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 14. Thomason G. 10. Windass J. 28. Smith S.
Substitutes
8. Allen J. 21. Bidwell J. 14. Esse R. 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 9. Simms E. 29. Torp V. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L.	33. Broadhead N. 3. Brunt L. 13. Cacace L. 4. Cleworth M. 7. Keillor-Dunn D. 47. Longman R. 19. Moore K. 27. O'Brien L. 1. Okonkwo A. (G)
Coaches
Lampard F.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Thomas-Asante B. ⚽, Mason-Clark E. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Rathbone O. ⚽, Kabore I. (A),
29', Onyeka F. 🟨,
40', James M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Eccles J. 🟨,
53', Rathbone O. 🟨,
60', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
71', Wright H. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
71', Eccles J. ↓, Torp V. ↑,
71', Windass J. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
72', Smith S. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Torp V. ⚽,
81', Thomas-Asante B. ↓, Esse R. ↑,
87', Grimes M. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Mason-Clark E. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Coventry is Qualified for Premier League

Coventry is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wrexham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Coventry is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Coventry: Brau M. (Muscle Injury) Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Sakamoto T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Hamstring Injury) James A. (Knee Injury) O'Connor T. (Hamstring Injury) Sheaf B. (Knee Injury) Vyner Z. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Coventry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Wrexham: 1.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
21.04.26	Coventry City - Portsmouth	5:1 ✺
17.04.26	Blackburn Rovers - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Coventry City - Sheffield Wednesday	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Hull City - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Coventry City - Derby County	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTTTW
- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
21.04.26	Oxford United - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Wrexham - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Birmingham City - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Wrexham - Southampton	1:5 ✺
03.04.26	West Bromwich Albion - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
31.10.25	Wrexham - Coventry City	3:2
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Coventry City - Wrexham	3:4
Club Friendly
31.07.12	Wrexham - Coventry City	N/A

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