Match Info

Date: 6 March 2020, Friday


	Gazélec Ajaccio		Pau

	1	X	2
	4.1	2.95	1.9
	4.1	2.8	1.95
	3.75	2.84	2
	4.12	3.1	2.08
	4	2.9	2
	3.98	2.95	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.91)	2.92 ↑ (2.88)	2 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gazélec Ajaccio
22.8%

Draw
31.3%

Pau
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

31.8%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

24.6%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gazélec Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gazélec Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gazélec Ajaccio - Pau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gazélec Ajaccio
French Ligue 3
28.02.20	Boulogne - Gazélec Ajaccio	4:1 ✺
21.02.20	Gazélec Ajaccio - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
14.02.20	Le Puy - Gazélec Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
11.02.20	Gazélec Ajaccio - Concarneau	2:0 ✺
07.02.20	Gazélec Ajaccio - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWT
- Pau FC
French Ligue 3
28.02.20	Pau - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
21.02.20	Bourg-Péronnas - Pau	0:0 ✺
14.02.20	Pau - Toulon	3:0 ✺
07.02.20	Red Star - Pau	1:2 ✺
01.02.20	Pau - Béziers	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
27.09.19	Pau - Gazélec Ajaccio	4:0

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