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Current Win Probability
Pau 47.3%
Draw 28.1%
Laval 24.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.4%
28%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
24.2%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pau that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laval could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
Pau - Laval Predictions
Users Predictions:
Pau will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Maubleu B. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 29. Paquiez G. 23. Briancon A. (C) 88. Bamba A. 97. Abdallah A. 6. Fall C. 21. Benet J. 19. Saettel T. 7. Benali H. 9. Leye B.
1. Hautbois M. (G) 23. Mouton E. 24. Bane S. 18. Lo A. 35. Samb L. 6. Sanna S. (C) 21. Beaudouin A. 22. Gaudin J. 31. Houdayer M. 28. Kante A. 20. Clavreul E.
Substitutes
8. Basse S. 10. Brahimi B. 27. Gadegbeku L. 56. Mbaye A. 22. Mimb Baheng R. 5. Rajot L. 30. Salles E. (G) 18. Sebas J. 39. Tourraine M.
3. Bianda W. 11. Dago T. 40. Droyaux L. (G) 7. Gourichy C. 5. Maggiotti J. 14. Mandouki C. 33. Mellier S. 34. Moussaoui A. 29. Sidibe M.
Coaches
Debes T.
Vignes D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Briancon A. ⚽, Benet J. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Houdayer M. ⚽, Clavreul E. (A),
30', Bamba A. 🟨,
36', Beaudouin A. 🟨,
42', Benet J. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Abdallah A. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,
46', Saettel T. ↓, Sebas J. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Leye B. ⚽, Sebas J. (A),
57', Benali H. 🟨,
61', Clavreul E. ↓, Dago T. ↑,
61', Gaudin J. ↓, Moussaoui A. ↑,
61', Kante A. ↓, Gourichy C. ↑,
61', Briancon A. ↓, Mimb Baheng R. ↑,
64', Houdayer M. 🟨,
76', 3 - 1, Benali H. ⚽, Tourraine M. (A),
78', Bamba A. ↓, Basse S. ↑,
81', Sanna S. ↓, Mandouki C. ↑,
81', Beaudouin A. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Dago T. ⚽, Gourichy C. (A),
90+6', Maggiotti J. 🟥,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 18th in the Relegation - Ligue 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 3.
Pau has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Laval has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Laval has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pau holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Pau: Daubin Q.
(Inactive)
Gasnier K.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Laval: Bouriaud T.
(Inactive)
Commaret M.
(Arm Injury)
Esmel H.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Pau has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:10 (averaging 1.1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pau against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.2:0.7 per game).
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Maubleu B. (G) 
Abdallah A. 
Fall C. 
Kante A. 
Brahimi B. 
Mimb Baheng R. 
Sebas J. 
Dago T. 
Moussaoui A. 
Sidibe M. 
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