Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 28

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	16:00	Ettan Play


	Gefle		FBK Karlstad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.40	2.00
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.31	3.45	2.16
	3.13	3.75	2.07	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.13
	3.13	3.44	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.35)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	2.08 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
29.1%

Draw
26.8%

FBK Karlstad
44.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26.5%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gefle's form might have worsened.

FBK Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBK Karlstad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gefle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBK Karlstad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gefle - FBK Karlstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Croon M. (G) 4. Hansemon T. 5. Ismail D. 2. Larsson E. (C) 23. Lundstrom N. 16. Nehrman R. 15. Nezirevic A. 24. Persson K. 11. Vikgren L. 9. Zahirovic A. 77. Zulum S.	20. Johansson V. (G) 15. Dukhan W. 18. Forsberg E. (C) 4. Fredriksson L. 26. Hagelberg A. 13. Hoiby J. 6. Marigliano C. 21. Navassardian E. 8. Oluwayemi M. 38. Steen L. 22. Tigerholm V.
Substitutes
6. Edman I. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 8. Kouyate M. 19. Sipic A. 18. Spangberg M. 20. Sugita Y.	14. Buisson B. 17. Olsson W. 3. Parleholt A. 19. Rolandsson N. (G) 23. Rostlund A. 12. Sandstad A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Persson K. 🟨,
60', Navassardian E. 🟨,
65', Zahirovic A. ↓, Spangberg M. ↑,
73', Dukhan W. ↓, Olsson W. ↑,
76', Nehrman R. ↓, Sipic A. ↑,
77', Lundstrom N. ↓, Sugita Y. ↑,
77', Ismail D. 🟨,
79', Tigerholm V. 🟨,
83', Hansemon T. 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Vikgren L. ⚽,
87', Navassardian E. ↓, Buisson B. ↑,
87', Steen L. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 6th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

FBK Karlstad is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Gefle has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	FBK Karlstad	28	13	7	8	44:38	6	46
10	Gefle	28	10	5	13	34:47	-13	35

Last Results with these Odds

Gefle - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.29%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.10.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Gefle	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Gefle - Piteå	3:3 ✺
03.10.26	Enköping - Gefle	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Gefle - Vasalund	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Gefle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTLLW
- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.10.26	FBK Karlstad - Karlberg	3:1 ✺
11.10.26	Assyriska Föreningen - FBK Karlstad	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	FBK Karlstad - AFC Eskilstuna	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Umeå - FBK Karlstad	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	FBK Karlstad - Sollentuna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.04.26	FBK Karlstad - Gefle	2:1

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