Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Sen A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Gençlerbirliği		Manisa FK

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.33
	1.7	4	4.5	Watch
	1.7	4.05	4.74
	1.68	3.95	4.61	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4
	1.7	3.89	4.43	Watch
	1.7	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	3.88 ↑ (3.49)	4.44 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gençlerbirliği
54.9%

Draw
24%

Manisa FK
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.5%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

26%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Gençlerbirliği - Manisa FK Predictions

Users Predictions: Gençlerbirliği will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Erenturk E. (G) 88. Uzum F. 90. Osmanoglu S. (C) 15. Zuzek Z. 12. Berber O. 16. Kabak A. 89. Amilton 10. Joca 14. Nalepa M. 7. Mimaroglu M. 9. Popa D.	1. Uysal A. (G) 29. Yilmaz B. 15. Arslanagic D. 50. Gocmen B. 19. Erdem U. 60. Toure B. 25. Cissokho M. 10. Dani Ramirez 8. Gurbulak O. (C) 21. Diallo D. 9. Minchev G.
Substitutes
19. Altiparmak G. 24. Babacan A. 6. Cagiran B. 25. Islamoglu U. 61. Kemaloglu E. 99. Leo Gaucho 20. Okyar M. 8. Onur S. 13. Ozdemir O. (G) 27. Unal E.	54. Akgun E. 70. Altunkara E. 5. Arik K. 14. Erkasap M. 13. Ibik A. 18. Kahya K. C. 35. Karatas E. (G) 23. Kiprit M. 2. Talum Y. 53. Yurdakul K.
Coaches
Eroglu H.	Sapci H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Mimaroglu M. ⚽, Amilton (A),
11', 2 - 0, Popa D. ⚽, Joca (A),
23', 3 - 0, Mimaroglu M. ⚽,
29', Uzum F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diallo D. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
46', Toure B. ↓, Yurdakul K. ↑,
46', Yilmaz B. ↓, Talum Y. ↑,
46', Amilton 🟨,
54', Mimaroglu M. 🟨,
58', Popa D. ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
66', Kabak A. ↓, Okyar M. ↑,
67', Joca ↓, Cagiran B. ↑,
68', Minchev G. ↓, Altunkara E. ↑,
69', Cissokho M. 🟨,
75', Osmanoglu S. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
75', Nalepa M. ↓, Kemaloglu E. ↑,
76', Gurbulak O. ↓, Kahya K. C. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 0.

Gençlerbirliği is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Manisa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gençlerbirliği is a favorite.

There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Gureler Y. (Injury) Hanousek M. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Gençlerbirliği to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:14 (average 0.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Gençlerbirliği won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish First League
22.02.25	Keçiörengücü - Gençlerbirliği	3:3 ✺
16.02.25	Gençlerbirliği - Pendikspor	3:0 ✺
12.02.25	Erzurumspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Gençlerbirliği - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Gençlerbirliği - Igdirspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWTW
- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
21.02.25	Manisa FK - Boluspor	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Yeni Malatyaspor - Manisa FK	0:6 ✺
11.02.25	Manisa FK - Kocaelispor	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Adanaspor - Manisa FK	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
06.10.24	Manisa FK - Gençlerbirliği	1:0
25.02.24	Manisa FK - Gençlerbirliği	1:1
30.09.23	Gençlerbirliği - Manisa FK	1:1
02.04.23	Manisa FK - Gençlerbirliği	2:1
31.10.22	Gençlerbirliği - Manisa FK	1:3
22.01.22	Manisa FK - Gençlerbirliği	3:1
29.08.21	Gençlerbirliği - Manisa FK	0:3

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