The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Libertad Asuncion 57.3%
Draw 25.2%
General Caballero JLM 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56%
26.2%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
24.4%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
General Caballero JLM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Asuncion that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.3%
6.7%
0%
Libertad Asuncion - General Caballero JLM Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Libertad (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Libertad Asuncion will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Libertad Asuncion will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 10 - 76.9%). General Caballero (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Ramirez I. 5. Viera D. 4. Gimenez N. 17. Espinoza M. 26. Caballero H. 30. Acuna O. 20. Fernandez H. 21. Sanabria L. 7. Cardozo O. 10. Melgarejo L.
12. Tales (G) 35. Vera M. 5. Caceres L. (C) 27. Fernandez E. 7. Ferreira M. 32. Vega G. 13. Torres L. 24. Espinola G. 21. Schabus M. 20. Rojas M. 22. Arguello V.
Substitutes
11. Aguilar G. 13. Bogarin J. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. 28. Fernandez M. 31. Fernandez T. 14. Fretes A. 22. Martinez H. 19. Recalde J. 29. Rojas V. (G) 24. Santa C. R. 35. Troche A. 32. Villalba R.
25. Aguilera A. D. 18. Armoa J. 28. Franco J. 29. Gimenez O. 1. Guillen L. (G) 19. Lopez J. 31. Machuca M. 26. Ocampo D. 17. Rodriguez L.
Coaches
Guinazu P.
Ovelar H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Rojas M. 🟨,
19', Vega G. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Schabus M. ↓, Armoa J. ↑,
46', Acuna O. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
46', Sanabria L. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
46', Rojas M. ↓, Machuca M. ↑,
65', Ramirez I. ↓, Cardozo Lucena A. ↑,
72', Tales 🟨,
74', Cardozo O. (Pen),
78', Espinola G. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
78', Ferreira M. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
78', Arguello V. ↓, Aguilera A. D. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Melgarejo L. ⚽, Fretes A. (A),
85', Fernandez H. ↓, Santa C. R. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Santa C. R. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
General Caballero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Libertad is seen as the favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 1.3:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:1. (average 1:0.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Libertad Asuncion - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.01%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Paraguay
Usa
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Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 
Tales (G) 
Vega G. 
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