Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 2

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday


	General San Martín de Formosa		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.87
	2.45	2.7	3.1
	2.44	2.62	3.19
	2.43	2.73	3.22	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.8
	2.38	2.8	3.14
	2.45	2.7	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.23)	2.82 ↑ (2.5)	3.06 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General San Martín de Formosa
38.2%

Draw
32.2%

Central Norte
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

36.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

39%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Central Norte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for General San Martín de Formosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Central Norte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Rinaudo S. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Gonzalez H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.07.24	Sol de América de Formosa - General San Martín de Formosa	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Boca Unidos	1:3 ✺
07.07.24	Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
14.06.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLTW
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.07.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
23.06.24	Central Norte - Juventud Antoniana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.07.24	Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0
11.05.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	2:1
24.09.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	1:1
29.07.23	Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	0:0
04.06.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	2:0
09.04.23	Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0
16.07.22	Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	3:3

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