Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 4

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: 17 De Octubre (Formosa)


	General San Martín de Formosa		Independiente Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.92	2.92	4.15
	1.91	2.88	4.23
	1.67	3.25	6.09	Watch
	1.92	2.98	4.14
	1.61	3.48	5.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.93)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	4.81 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General San Martín de Formosa
51.9%

Draw
29%

Independiente Chivilcoy
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.2%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

General San Martín de Formosa - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Martín Formosa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ind Chivilcoy will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martín Formosa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ind Chivilcoy (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Humeler K. (G) 4. Alderete R. P. 2. Finardi B. 6. Leiva D. 3. Griego A. 8. Tapia R. 5. Bobadilla M. 10. Nunez G. 11. Chiquichano O. 7. Vicedo M. 9. Siergiejuk M.	1. Ratalin G. (G) 4. Ciancio V. 2. Masino M. 6. Tumbesi F. 3. Aquino A. 8. Sosa A. 5. Giaccone F. 10. Veron L. 11. Sanabria A. 7. Mast T. 9. Schlotthauer M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Chiquichano O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Aquino A. ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, Bobadilla M. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Peralta B. ⚽,
87', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

San Martín Formosa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Martín Formosa is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.08.25	Douglas Haig - General San Martín de Formosa	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Sportivo Belgrano - General San Martín de Formosa	3:0 ✺
13.07.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLTW
- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.08.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
11.07.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTTW

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