Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 2

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Resistencia)


	Sarmiento de La Banda		Independiente Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	1.38	3.7	8.5
	1.42	3.6	7.7	Watch
	1.61	3.55	6.8
	2.23	3.04	3.37	Watch
	1.41	3.6	8.9
	1.52	3.62	6.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	3.52 ↑ (3.35)	6.89 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de La Banda
59.4%

Draw
26.9%

Independiente Chivilcoy
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.9%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

25.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de La Banda's performance.

Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Sarmiento de La Banda - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ind Chivilcoy (6.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sarmiento de La Banda will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento La Banda (votes: 3 - 75%). Ind Chivilcoy (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendonca J. (G) 9. Arias J. 2. Herrera R. 8. Lopez P. 3. Ochoa A. 10. Roldan I. 5. Sanchez Arriola M. 4. Solveyra A. 11. Speck N. 6. Vaschetto J. 7. Vega C.	1. Ratalin G. (G) 6. Aquino A. 2. Ciancio V. 11. Fernandez V. 5. Giaccone F. 4. Mast T. 7. Rodriguez T. 3. Romero W. 9. Schlotthauer M. 8. Sosa A. 10. Veron L.
Substitutes
12. Acuna F. (G) 13. Araujo C. 16. Caviglia J. 20. Dominguez M. 18. Garzon I. 14. Guzman G. 17. Lezcano L. 19. Pinto A. 15. Triverio G.	15. Bassi E. 17. Benitez E. 12. Burello A. (G) 13. D'Annunzio N. 14. Masino M. 18. Romero F. 16. Sanabria A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Sosa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Triverio G. ⚽,
50', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Herrera R. ⚽,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Sarmiento La Banda has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ind Chivilcoy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ind Chivilcoy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sarmiento La Banda is the clear favorite.

We predict that Sarmiento La Banda will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
13.07.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
23.06.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Boca Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWWW
- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
11.07.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	Ben Hur - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTWTT

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