Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: 17 De Octubre (Formosa)


	General San Martín de Formosa		Sol de Mayo

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.65	11
	1.27	4.75	10
	1.37	4.63	7.90	Watch
	1.25	4.6	12.3
	1.22	4.5	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)	4.63 ↑ (4.2)	11.44 ↑ (8.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General San Martín de Formosa
72.1%

Draw
19.8%

Sol de Mayo
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

22.1%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

19.7%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in General San Martín de Formosa's performance.

Sol de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with General San Martín de Formosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

General San Martín de Formosa - Sol de Mayo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Humeler K. (G) 5. Bobadilla M. 2. Brienzo N. 11. Chiquichano O. 4. Finardi B. 9. Haberkorn F. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 3. Peralta B. 8. Tapia R. 7. Vicedo M.	1. Nadal J. (G) 9. Cellerino I. 3. Martinez C. J. 10. Martinez M. 4. Miguez L. 11. Morales H. 6. Nunez E. 5. Quilen L. 8. Reyes A. 2. Scolari J. 7. Valdebenito F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Brienzo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Alderete R. P. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Morales H. 🟥,
90+2', Leiva D. 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

San Martín Formosa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sol de Mayo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sol de Mayo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Martín Formosa is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Martín Formosa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.25	Sol de Mayo - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- Club Sol de Mayo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.25	Sol de Mayo - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sol de Mayo - San Martín de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sol de Mayo - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Germinal - Sol de Mayo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.25	Sol de Mayo - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1

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