Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 26

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	13:30	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Brazil	09:30	Disney+
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Croatia	13:30	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	13:30	Bold+
Germany	13:30	Sportdigital+
Greece	14:30	Nova Sports Start
Israel	14:30	Sport 2
Japan	21:30	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	13:30	Sporza
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Portugal	12:30	DAZN 4
Serbia	13:30	Arena Sport 7
Slovakia	13:30	Arena sport 2
Spain	13:30	GolStadium
Switzerland	13:30	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Turkey	15:30	Exxen
International	12:30	Disney+


	Gent		Beerschot Wilrijk

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	5	Watch
	1.6	4.25	4.9
	1.59	4.33	5.56
	1.61	4.21	5.19
	1.44	4.4	6.5
	1.63	4.33	5.37	Watch
	1.6	4.25	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.47)	4.28 ↓ (4.57)	5.35 ↓ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
60.1%

Draw
22.2%

Beerschot Wilrijk
17.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.6%

20.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

20.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Gent - Beerschot Wilrijk Predictions

Users Predictions: Gent will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (G) 2. Kotto S. 4. Watanabe T. (C) 5. Lopes L. 3. Brown A. 16. Delorge-Knieper M. 18. Samoise M. 11. Sonko M. L. 6. Gandelman O. 9. Gudjohnsen A. 14. Vanzeir D.	33. Shinton N. (G) 2. Dagba C. 5. Mbe Soh L. (C) 4. Plat B. 66. Tolis 16. Al Ghamdi F. 20. Sahabo H. 77. van La Parra R. 25. Colassin A. 8. Henderson E. 10. Redan D.
Substitutes
20. Araujo T. 27. De Vlieger T. 12. Gambor H. 45. Goore H. 15. Ito A. 24. Kums S. 13. Mitrovic S. 19. Surdez F. 32. Vandenberghe T. (G)	17. Al Sahafi M. 30. Huiberts D. 9. Kosiah A. 42. Martha A. 71. Matijas D. (G) 3. Ortakaya E. 26. Tshimanga D. 99. van der Kust D. 28. Weymans M. 32. Wright-Phillips D.
Coaches
Milicevic D.	Kuyt D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Redan D. ⚽, Sahabo H. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Watanabe T. ⚽, Samoise M. (A),
20', Dagba C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', Plat B. 🟨,
54', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Ito A. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Sahabo H. ⚽, Colassin A. (A),
67', 2 - 2, Vanzeir D. (Pen),
68', Brown A. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
68', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
68', Gandelman O. ↓, Kums S. ↑,
77', Dagba C. ↓, Tshimanga D. ↑,
77', van La Parra R. ↓, Al Sahafi M. ↑,
85', Samoise M. ↓, Gambor H. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Vanzeir D. (Pen),
90+1', Sahabo H. ↓, Kosiah A. ↑,
90+3', Colassin A. 🟨,
90+4', Redan D. 🟨,
90+6', Colassin A. 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gent won 2.

Recent matches Gent is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Beerschot Wilrijk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Beerschot Wilrijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gent is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Gent: Dean M. (Knee Injury) Hjulsager A. (Muscle Injury) Omgba A. (Knee Injury) Torunarigha J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Beerschot Wilrijk: Al Sahafi M. (Knock) Sanusi R. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gent won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:6 (average 2.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Gent won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 3.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.02.25	Gent - Betis	0:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.02.25	KV Mechelen - Gent	3:3 ✺
02.02.25	Gent - Anderlecht	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Gent	0:0 ✺
17.01.25	Gent - Charleroi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWTT
- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.02.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Charleroi	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Genk - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Saint-Gilloise	0:4 ✺
18.01.25	Club Brugge - Beerschot Wilrijk	4:2 ✺
12.01.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Royal Antwerp	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.11.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Gent	0:0
13.03.22	Beerschot Wilrijk - Gent	0:2
01.08.21	Gent - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:2
10.01.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Gent	1:1
04.10.20	Gent - Beerschot Wilrijk	5:1
Belgian Cup
04.12.18	Gent - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:0
Club Friendly
22.07.17	Beerschot Wilrijk - Gent	2:3

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