The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fenerbahçe 72.9%
Draw 16.6%
Sturm Graz 10.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
21.9%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.1%
21%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fenerbahçe's performance.
Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sturm Graz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fenerbahçe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.7%
6.7%
6.7%
Fenerbahçe - Sturm Graz Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Fenerbahçe (1.83) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
BTTS - yes (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Sturm (2.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fenerbahçe will win
(39 of 45 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 96.6%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 3 - 60%). Sturm (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Gunok M. (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 15. Ake N. 24. Oosterwolde J. 10. Asensio M. 91. Kante N. 6. Guendouzi M. 11. Greenwood M. 94. Talisca 9. Akturkoglu K.
53. Khudyakov D. (G) 28. Heil J. 5. Vallci A. 2. Mitchell J. 18. Soglo E. 43. Hodl J. 39. Weinhandl L. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 19. Seidl S. 17. Wlodarczyk S. 20. Jatta S.
Substitutes
70. Aydin O. 3. Brown A. 26. Cherif S. 14. Demir Y. E. 31. Ederson (G) 7. Fred 17. Kahveci I. 18. Muldur M. 19. Muriqi V. 20. Musaba A. 4. Soyuncu C. 5. Yuksek I.
27. Balbo L. 26. Beganovic B. 80. Fosso R. 40. Halwachs J. 22. Helac A. (G) 11. Kayombo A. 30. Koller P. 23. Malic A. 15. Mamageishvili G. 21. Petrovic P. 44. Weiper N. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G)
Coaches
Kartal I.
Ingolitsch F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Talisca ⚽, Akturkoglu K. (A),
21', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
30', Oosterwolde J. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
45', 2 - 0, Greenwood M. ⚽, Asensio M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wlodarczyk S. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
58', Heil J. 🟨,
64', Seidl S. ↓, Mamageishvili G. ↑,
64', Weinhandl L. ↓, Fosso R. ↑,
64', Jatta S. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
65', Kayombo A. 🟨,
69', Greenwood M. ↓, Fred ↑,
69', Asensio M. ↓, Kahveci I. ↑,
85', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
85', Semedo N. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
87', Hodl J. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
Sturm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Fenerbahçe will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Germany
Greece
North-macedonia
Serbia
Slovakia
Usa
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Gunok M. (G) 
Semedo N. 
Skriniar M. (C) 
Ake N. 
Asensio M. 
Kante N. 
Greenwood M. 
Talisca 
Khudyakov D. (G) 
Heil J. 
Mitchell J. 
Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 
Wlodarczyk S. 
Jatta S. 
Muriqi V. 
Balbo L. 
Fosso R. 
Malic A. 
Mamageishvili G. 
Petrovic P. 
Weiper N. 
