The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Germinal 53.8%
Draw 29.4%
Santamarina de Tandil 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
31.4%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
28%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Germinal's performance.
Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santamarina de Tandil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Germinal that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santamarina de Tandil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Molini L. (G) 9. De Hoyos D. 10. Lencina K. 3. Moreno A. 8. Oliveri T. 5. Rojas J. 7. Santilli E. 2. Sveruk L. 6. Teran I. 11. Velazquez J. 4. Yocco L.
1. Moris U. (G) 10. Devesa A. 4. Dominguez L. 3. Ferrari T. 5. Igartua N. 9. Ijurco M. 7. Labaroni M. 6. Lucero I. 8. Meza F. 2. Romat N. 11. Romero T.
Substitutes
18. Gonzalez A. 12. Grigera F. (G) 17. Lires M. 14. Navarro G. 20. Nunez G. 13. Rios N. 16. Romero F. 19. Soto O. 15. Veloso L.
14. Alvarenga L. 20. Beloqui J. 16. Benitez M. 15. Chavez T. 17. Di Carlo R. 19. Ortiz M. 12. Ramil Sauer L. (G) 18. San Martin B. 13. Sposato T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Dominguez L. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, De Hoyos D. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
63', 2 - 1, Oliveri T. ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, Navarro G. ⚽,
84', 4 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
86', 5 - 1, Navarro G. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2.
Germinal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Santamarina has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Santamarina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Germinal is the team to beat.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
Watch
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Molini L. (G) 
Ortiz M. 
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