Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Germinal		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.8	2
	4.3	3.1	1.85
	3.47	2.91	2.11
	3.51	3.07	2.2	Watch
	3.5	2.88	2.1
	3.58	2.82	2.15
	4.3	3.1	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (4.8)	2.95 ↓ (3.18)	2.04 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germinal
24.3%

Draw
30.9%

Ciudad de Bolívar
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

28.5%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

27.5%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Germinal's performance.

Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ciudad de Bolívar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciudad de Bolívar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Germinal - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Gonzalez M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.10.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Germinal	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Germinal - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Germinal - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Douglas Haig - Germinal	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Germinal - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWTTW
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.10.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Argentino Monte Maíz - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Germinal	1:0

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