Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Rawson)


	Germinal		San Martín de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.7	3.2
	2.35	2.70	3.05
	2.35	2.79	3.30
	2.37	2.71	3.38	Watch
	2.30	2.45	3.20
	2.38	2.57	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.43)	2.65 ↓ (2.85)	3.26 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germinal
38.4%

Draw
33.9%

San Martín de Mendoza
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

32.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

San Martín de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Germinal - San Martín de Mendoza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Rodriguez L. G. (C)
	6. Bernabe N.
	10. Herensperger R.
	8. Leon J.
	2. Mas L.
	11. Mazzolo J.
	4. Mercado V.
	5. Paz I.
	9. Rivarola F.
	7. Saucedo F.
	3. Zapata M.
Substitutes
	16. Almeida J.
	17. Batistella E.
	14. Caro V.
	18. Cordoba A.
	19. Ferro A.
	20. Gonzalez D.
	12. Rosa N. (G)
	13. Velazquez P.
	15. Zanon J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
76', 🟥,

Preview

Germinal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SM de Mendoza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, SM de Mendoza has had a series of home games.

Germinal will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Germinal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Sol de Mayo - Germinal	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil	5:1 ✺
08.08.26	Costa Brava - Germinal	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Germinal - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Guillermo Brown - Germinal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWTWL
- San Martín de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Sol de Mayo	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	FADEP - San Martín de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	San Martín de Mendoza - Germinal	2:0

Germinal - San Martín de Mendoza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide