The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gernika 45.9%
Draw 31.2%
Cirbonero 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
33.6%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
33.3%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Cirbonero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cirbonero than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Gernika - Cirbonero Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).
Gernika is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Cirbonero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Cirbonero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Gernika have a series of home games.
Gernika will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Gernika won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.