Match Info

LaLiga - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Osasuna		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.92	3.35	4.25
	1.94	3.45	4.5
	1.97	3.36	4.15	Watch
	1.91	3.3	4
	2	3.46	4.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.13)	3.39 ↓ (3.53)	4.26 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna
49.3%

Draw
28.2%

Sevilla
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.6%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sevilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasuna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.5%	18.4%	6.1%

Osasuna - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 37 - 75.5%). Sevilla will win (votes: 3 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 63.5% – 87.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Osasuna (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera S. (G) 19. Rosier V. 24. Catena A. 22. Boyomo F. 20. Galan J. 7. Moncayola J. 8. Munoz I. 14. Garcia R. (C) 10. Oroz A. 21. Munoz V. 17. Budimir A.	1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 32. Castrin 4. Salas K. 12. Suazo G. (C) 11. Vargas R. 18. Agoume L. 20. Sow D. 36. Oso 7. Romero I. 17. Maupay N.
Substitutes
41. Arguibide I. 11. Barja K. 23. Bretones A. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 9. Garcia R. 16. Gomez M. 5. Herrando J. 18. Moro R. 29. Osambela A. 31. Stamatakis D. (G) 6. Torro L.	9. Adams A. 28. Bueno M. 21. Ejuke C. 22. Gattoni F. 6. Gudelj N. 24. Januzaj A. 19. Mendy B. 5. Nianzou T. 13. Nyland O. (G) 14. Peque 10. Sanchez A. 16. Sanchez J.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Suazo G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Budimir A. 🟨,
62', Oroz A. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
66', Sow D. 🟨,
69', 0 - 1, Maupay N. ⚽, Sow D. (A),
71', Sow D. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
71', Garcia R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
71', Munoz I. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
76', Vargas R. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Garcia R. ⚽,
87', Oso ↓, Adams A. ↑,
87', Romero I. ↓, Peque ↑,
87', Maupay N. ↓, Gudelj N. ↑,
90', Galan J. ↓, Bretones A. ↑,
90', Munoz V. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
90+4', Garcia R. 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 1, Catena A. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 1.

Recent performances by Osasuna have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sevilla is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Osasuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Osasuna will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Osasuna: Benito I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Marcao (Wrist Injury)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Azpilicueta C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Sevilla: 0.42% Osasuna: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10:9	1	13
14	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6:13	-7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Sevilla - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 28.46%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
21.04.26	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Osasuna - Betis	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Osasuna - Girona	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTWL
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
23.04.26	Levante - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Real Oviedo - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sevilla - Valencia	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Barcelona - Sevilla	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.11.25	Sevilla - Osasuna	1:0
24.04.25	Osasuna - Sevilla	1:0
02.12.24	Sevilla - Osasuna	1:1
28.01.24	Sevilla - Osasuna	1:1
23.09.23	Osasuna - Sevilla	0:0
26.02.23	Sevilla - Osasuna	2:3
Spanish Copa del Rey
25.01.23	Osasuna - Sevilla	2:1 ET

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