Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 30

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Giana Erminio		AC Carpi

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.25
	2.05	3.2	3.15
	2.04	3.21	3.23
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	2.09	3.3	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.8)	3.28 ↓ (3.39)	3.3 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
45.2%

Draw
27.5%

AC Carpi
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.2%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

27%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

AC Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giana Erminio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Carpi than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Giana Erminio - AC Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Giana Erminio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Giana Erminio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.02.23	Bagnolese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Giana Erminio - Forlì	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Prato - Giana Erminio	0:3 ✺
08.02.23	Giana Erminio - Ravenna	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	SantAngelo - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTWLL
- AC Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.02.23	AC Carpi - Real Forte Querceta	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Pistoiese - AC Carpi	4:1 ✺
12.02.23	Forlì - AC Carpi	0:0 ✺
08.02.23	AC Carpi - Aglianese	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Bagnolese - AC Carpi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
30.10.22	AC Carpi - Giana Erminio	2:0

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