Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)


	Gillingham		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2
	3.4	3.6	2.05
	3.5	3.5	2	Watch
	3.32	3.69	2.02
	3.51	3.58	2	Watch
	3.5	3.6	2.05
	3.47	3.64	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.21)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	2.02 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
27.2%

Draw
26.2%

Blackpool
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

26.3%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

25.9%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Gillingham - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: Blackpool will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morris G. (G) 2. Hutton R. 5. Ehmer M. (C) 4. Masterson C. 22. Ogie S. 7. Nolan J. 21. Williams E. 38. Dieng T. 8. Little A. 17. Clarke J. 24. Wakeling J.	1. O'Donnell R. (G) 24. Offiah O. 4. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 20. Casey O. 15. Coulson H. 28. Finnigan R. 7. Evans L. 10. Carey S. 14. Embleton E. 9. Joseph K. 19. Ballard D.
Substitutes
9. Andrews J. 13. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 3. Clark M. 29. Gbode J. 31. Giles A. 12. Hawkins O. 25. Turner J. (G) 10. Williams J. 18. Wyllie M.	26. Ashworth Z. 12. Baggott E. 18. Beesley J. 11. Fletcher A. 17. Onomah J. 5. Pennington M. 16. Rhodes J. 23. Thompson D. 30. Tyrer H. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Carey S. ⚽,
44', Finnigan R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', Dieng T. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
70', Joseph K. ↓, Rhodes J. ↑,
70', Ballard D. ↓, Beesley J. ↑,
78', Carey S. 🟨,
80', Masterson C. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
84', Embleton E. ↓, Pennington M. ↑,
90', Finnigan R. ↓, Onomah J. ↑,
90', Nolan J. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Carey S. ⚽, Onomah J. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 3.

Gillingham has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Blackpool is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Blackpool is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
26.10.24	Swindon Town - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Gillingham - Newport County	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Bradford City - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Gillingham - Accrington Stanley	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Blackpool
English League One
28.10.24	Blackpool - Wigan Athletic	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Peterborough United - Blackpool	5:1 ✺
19.10.24	Blackpool - Barnsley	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Mansfield Town - Blackpool	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Blackpool - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
05.04.21	Blackpool - Gillingham	4:1
26.09.20	Gillingham - Blackpool	2:0
11.02.20	Blackpool - Gillingham	2:3
20.08.19	Gillingham - Blackpool	2:2
04.05.19	Blackpool - Gillingham	0:3
06.11.18	Gillingham - Blackpool	0:1
21.04.18	Gillingham - Blackpool	0:3

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