Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Gillingham		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.1	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.23	2.26	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.3
	3.13	3.34	2.24	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.36)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	2.26 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
29.8%

Draw
28.6%

Doncaster Rovers
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.6%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.3%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Gillingham - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Doncaster will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morris G. (G) 2. Hutton R. 14. McKenzie R. 5. Ehmer M. (C) 22. Ogie S. 7. Nolan J. 6. Coleman E. 28. Agbinone A. 8. Little A. 17. Clarke J. 20. Nevitt E.	19. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 5. Olowu J. 25. McGrath J. 3. Maxwell J. 7. Molyneux L. 17. Bailey O. (C) 9. Street R. 10. Sbarra J. 27. Crew C. 14. Sharp B.
Substitutes
3. Clark M. 23. Dack B. 38. Dieng T. 29. Gbode J. 11. Rowe A. 25. Turner J. (G) 10. Williams J.	4. Anderson T. 8. Broadbent G. 15. Clifton H. 18. Ennis E. 11. Gibson J. 20. Ironside J. 1. Lawlor I. (G)
Coaches
Coleman J.	McCann G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Little A. 🟨,
17', Olowu J. 🟨,
18', McCann G. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Molyneux L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Crew C. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
64', Sbarra J. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
70', Street R. 🟨,
73', Clarke J. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
74', Agbinone A. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
74', Nevitt E. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
74', Sharp B. ↓, Ennis E. ↑,
74', Street R. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
90', Broadbent G. 🟨,
90+1', Molyneux L. 🟨,
90+3', Molyneux L. ↓, Anderson T. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 1.

Gillingham is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Doncaster is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Doncaster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Doncaster will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:22 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
02.01.25	Gillingham - Bromley	0:3 ✺
30.12.24	AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Colchester United - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
20.12.24	Gillingham - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
14.12.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLTW
- Doncaster Rovers
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Hull City - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
04.01.25	Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
01.01.25	Doncaster Rovers - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Colchester United - Doncaster Rovers	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Walsall - Doncaster Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.09.24	Doncaster Rovers - Gillingham	1:0
27.04.24	Gillingham - Doncaster Rovers	2:2
23.09.23	Doncaster Rovers - Gillingham	2:1
07.04.23	Gillingham - Doncaster Rovers	1:0
29.10.22	Doncaster Rovers - Gillingham	1:0
English League One
12.03.22	Doncaster Rovers - Gillingham	0:1
19.10.21	Gillingham - Doncaster Rovers	1:0

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