Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 23

Date: 30 December 2024, Monday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+


	AFC Wimbledon		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.75
	1.8	3.3	5	Watch
	1.77	3.41	4.95
	1.74	3.42	4.87	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.8
	1.78	3.4	4.76	Watch
	1.8	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.77)	3.35 ↓ (3.61)	4.83 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
52.4%

Draw
28.1%

Gillingham
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.8%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.6%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	14.3%	9.5%

AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 26. Harbottle R. 5. O'Toole J. J. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 12. Smith A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 19. Sawyers R. 7. Tilley J. 10. Kelly J. 14. Stevens M.	1. Morris G. (G) 30. Gale S. 5. Ehmer M. (C) 4. Masterson C. 3. Clark M. 6. Coleman E. 14. McKenzie R. 17. Clarke J. 8. Little A. 23. Dack B. 20. Nevitt E.
Substitutes
2. Biler H. 3. Furlong J. 41. Hutchinson S. 33. Ogundere I. 39. Pigott J. 29. Sasu A. 22. Ward L. (G)	38. Dieng T. 29. Gbode J. 7. Nolan J. 22. Ogie S. 11. Rowe A. 25. Turner J. (G) 10. Williams J.
Coaches
Jackson J.	Bonner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', O'Toole J. J. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Stevens M. ⚽, Tilley J. (A),
56', Gale S. 🟨,
56', Stevens M. 🟨,
64', Masterson C. ↓, Ogie S. ↑,
64', Gale S. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
73', Sawyers R. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
74', Little A. 🟨,
77', Dack B. 🟨,
79', Dack B. ↓, Dieng T. ↑,
80', Nevitt E. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
80', Harbottle R. ↓, Hutchinson S. ↑,
83', Ogundere I. 🟨,
89', Clark M. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
90', Kelly J. ↓, Furlong J. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 8 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
26.12.24	AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Chesterfield - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
English League Two
07.12.24	Harrogate Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWLW
- Gillingham FC
English League Two
26.12.24	Colchester United - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
20.12.24	Gillingham - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
14.12.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Gillingham - Salford City	1:0 ✺
04.12.24	Bromley - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.03.24	AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham	2:0
28.11.23	Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
25.02.23	Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon	2:1
English League Cup
09.08.22	AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham	0:2
English League Two
30.07.22	AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham	2:0
English League One
22.02.22	Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon	0:0
17.08.21	AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham	1:1

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