The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 34.8%
Draw 28.9%
Doncaster Rovers 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
27.7%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
28.1%
39.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
10%
40%
Colchester United - Doncaster Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Doncaster will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 18. Egbo M. 6. Flanagan T. 25. Donnelly A. 3. Iandolo E. 8. Bishop T. 15. McDonnell J. 31. Thorn O. 10. Payne J. 21. Edwards O. 33. Taylor L.
19. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 5. Olowu J. 25. McGrath J. 3. Maxwell J. 17. Bailey O. 8. Broadbent G. 7. Molyneux L. 15. Clifton H. 11. Gibson J. 20. Ironside J.
Substitutes
7. Anderson H. 5. Goodliffe B. 11. Gordon J. 14. Hopper T. 4. Kelleher F. 34. Sandah H. 12. Smith T. (G)
4. Anderson T. 33. Close B. 27. Fleming B. 21. Hurst K. 22. Kelly P. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 14. Sharp B.
Coaches
Cowley D.
McCann G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Sterry J. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Gibson J. ⚽,
42', Bailey O. 🟨,
45+1', Taylor L. 🟨,
45+1', McDonnell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Taylor L. ⚽, Thorn O. (A),
60', Thorn O. 🟨,
70', Gibson J. 🟨,
74', Thorn O. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
76', Ironside J. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
76', Molyneux L. ↓, Hurst K. ↑,
80', Gibson J. 🟨,
87', Broadbent G. ↓, Anderson T. ↑,
87', Maxwell J. ↓, Fleming B. ↑,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
Colchester is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Doncaster is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Colchester have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11:19 (average 0.9:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.7:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Doncaster Rovers - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.25%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.