Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 25

Date: 29 December 2023, Friday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Gillingham		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4
	1.88	3.4	4
	1.9	3.5	4	Watch
	1.97	3.5	4.37
	1.92	3.5	4.37
	1.85	3.5	3.8
	1.9	3.38	4.2	Watch
	1.92	3.45	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.67)	3.47 ↓ (3.73)	4.06 ↓ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
49.5%

Draw
27.2%

Sutton United
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.2%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sutton United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Gillingham - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Sutton will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Turner J. (G) 4. Masterson C. 5. Ehmer M. (C) 22. Ogie S. 2. Alexander C. 18. Coleman E. 11. Jefferies D. 3. Clark M. 8. Williams J. 10. Nadesan A. 12. Hawkins O.	21. Bouzanis D. (G) 23. Jackson R. 5. Goodliffe B. 22. Kizzi J. 24. Milsom R. 18. Pereira D. 16. Clay C. 10. Beautyman H. (C) 19. Fadahunsi T. 9. Smith H. 40. O'Brien A.
Substitutes
45. Bonne M. 17. Clarke J. 7. Lapslie G. 23. Mahoney C. 13. Malone S. 1. Morris G. (G) 9. Nichols T.	33. Angol L. 25. Arnold S. (G) 42. Hart S. 8. N'Guessan C. 11. Patrick O. 4. Sowunmi O.
Coaches
Clemence S.	Goodliffe J.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Gillingham have a series of home games.

In this match Gillingham is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
26.12.23	Gillingham - Crawley Town	0:2 ✺
22.12.23	Forest Green Rovers - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Gillingham - Bradford City	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Gillingham - Charlton Athletic	2:0 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTLWW
- Sutton United
English League Two
26.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Sutton United - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
16.12.23	Stockport County - Sutton United	8:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Sutton United - Barnsley	Canceled ✺
02.12.23	Sutton United - Horsham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLL?W

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
15.08.23	Sutton United - Gillingham	0:1
29.12.22	Sutton United - Gillingham	2:1
01.10.22	Gillingham - Sutton United	1:0

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