Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 24

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)


	AFC Wimbledon		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	8
	1.39	4.75	7.25
	1.38	4.75	8
	1.39	4.93	8.36
	1.4	4.94	8.37
	1.33	4.8	8
	1.38	4.8	7.8	Watch
	1.39	4.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.53)	4.79 ↑ (4.43)	7.87 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
68.3%

Draw
19.7%

Sutton United
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

21.3%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

21%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Wimbledon's performance.

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Wimbledon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	8.7%	4.3%

AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bass A. (G) 2. Biler H. 15. Pearce A. 6. Johnson R. 26. Currie J. 7. Tilley J. 14. Little A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 11. Neufville J. 10. Al-Hamadi A. 18. Bugiel O.	21. Bouzanis D. (G) 23. Jackson R. 5. Goodliffe B. 22. Kizzi J. 42. Hart S. 19. Fadahunsi T. 26. Gape D. 33. Angol L. 11. Patrick O. 10. Beautyman H. (C) 9. Smith H.
Substitutes
16. Ball J. 9. Davison J. 30. Kalambayi P. 19. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 33. Ogundere I. 8. Pell H. 1. Tzanev N. (G)	25. Arnold S. (G) 16. Clay C. 24. Milsom R. 40. O'Brien A. 18. Pereira D. 4. Sowunmi O.
Coaches
Jackson J.	Goodliffe J.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 2.

Wimbledon in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sutton is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wimbledon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sutton have a series of home games.

In this match Wimbledon is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wimbledon to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
22.12.23	Crawley Town - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.12.23	Portsmouth - AFC Wimbledon	2:5 ✺
English League Two
16.12.23	Salford City - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Ramsgate	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWTWW
- Sutton United
English League Two
23.12.23	Sutton United - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
16.12.23	Stockport County - Sutton United	8:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Sutton United - Barnsley	Canceled ✺
02.12.23	Sutton United - Horsham	3:0 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Sutton United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LL?WT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.08.23	Sutton United - AFC Wimbledon	0:3
01.01.23	Sutton United - AFC Wimbledon	2:1
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United	1:0
English League Two
15.10.22	AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United	0:1
English EFL Trophy
09.11.21	Sutton United - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
English FA Cup
17.01.17	AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United	1:2
07.01.17	Sutton United - AFC Wimbledon	0:0

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