Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)


	Sutton United		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.57
	5	4.1	1.58
	5	4.2	1.6
	5.55	4.22	1.61
	5.55	4.22	1.61
	5.5	4.2	1.53
	5.3	4.15	1.58	Watch
	5	4.1	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↑ (4.61)	4.19 ↑ (3.98)	1.58 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
17.9%

Draw
22.5%

Mansfield Town
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

23.6%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

25.2%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Sutton United - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Mansfield will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bouzanis D. (G) 23. Jackson R. 22. Kizzi J. 42. Hart S. 24. Milsom R. 16. Clay C. 10. Beautyman H. 8. N'Guessan C. 7. Coley J. 11. Patrick O. 9. Smith H.	1. Pym C. (G) 2. Johnson C. 9. Bowery J. 24. Brunt L. 14. Flint A. (C) 8. Clarke O. 6. Cargill B. 16. Quinn S. 7. Akins L. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 10. Maris G.
Substitutes
33. Angol L. 25. Arnold S. (G) 19. Fadahunsi T. 26. Gape D. 40. O'Brien A. 18. Pereira D.	13. Flinders S. (G) 11. MacDonald C. 3. McLaughlin S. 18. Oates R. 25. Reed L. 26. Swan W.
Coaches
Gray M.	Clough N.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Mansfield is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sutton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
16.12.23	Stockport County - Sutton United	8:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Sutton United - Barnsley	Canceled ✺
02.12.23	Sutton United - Horsham	3:0 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Sutton United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Grimsby Town - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 L?WTT
- Mansfield Town
English League Two
16.12.23	Crawley Town - Mansfield Town	1:3 ✺
28.11.23	Mansfield Town - Tranmere Rovers	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Swindon Town - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
21.11.23	Burton Albion - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
English League Two
18.11.23	Mansfield Town - Newport County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
25.03.23	Mansfield Town - Sutton United	0:0
27.08.22	Sutton United - Mansfield Town	2:1
15.04.22	Mansfield Town - Sutton United	2:3
23.11.21	Sutton United - Mansfield Town	2:0

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