The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheonan City 52.1%
Draw 25.6%
Gimhae 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
28%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
26%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheonan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cheonan City's performance.
Gimhae has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimhae might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cheonan City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimhae could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
96%
0%
4%
Cheonan City - Gimhae Predictions
Users Predictions:
Cheonan City will win
(24 of 25 users predict this - 96%). Confidence interval (95%): 88.32% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cheonan City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Lee Seung-Kyu (G) 16. Kim Seong-Ju (C) 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 24. Kwon Yong-seung 27. Park Chang-Woo 99. Bruno Lamas 14. Koo J. 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 77. Lee Kyu-Min 9. Lee Joon-Ho 10. Toungara A.
91. Choe Pil-Soo (C) 4. Cha Jun-Young 29. Hong W. 6. Choi Jun-Yeong 14. Pyo Geon-Hee 16. Choe Won-Cheol 34. Gwak Seong-Uk 9. Mikeltadze B. 17. Lee Y. 11. Lee Kang-Uk 7. Lee Seung-Jae
Substitutes
18. Ahn Chang-Min 72. Cha Seung-Hyeon 4. Choi Jun-Hyeok 97. Ivanildo 17. Lee Ji-Seung 7. Lee Sang-Jun 20. Lee Sang-Yong 1. Park Ju-Won (G) 47. Wu J.
99. Fall M. 25. Han Jun-Sung (G) 27. Lee Jun-Gyu 97. Lee Rae-Jun 3. Lee Seul-Chan 98. Miguel Baggio 22. Park Sang-Jun 23. Sung Ho-Yeung 5. Yeo J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Mikeltadze B. ⚽, Lee Kang-Uk (A),
16', Lee Kyu-Min ↓, Choi Jun-Hyeok ↑,
16', Kim Seong-Ju ↓, Lee Sang-Jun ↑,
45+2', Gwak Seong-Uk 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Choi Jun-Yeong ↓, Yeo J. ↑,
49', Lee Joon-Ho 🟨,
58', Lee Joon-Ho ↓, Ivanildo ↑,
59', Lee Kang-Uk ↓, Sung Ho-Yeung ↑,
62', Lee Dong-Hyeop 🟨,
64', Lee Y. ↓, Lee Jun-Gyu ↑,
65', Choi Jun-Hyeok 🟨,
76', Lee Dong-Hyeop ↓, Cha Seung-Hyeon ↑,
76', Toungara A. ↓, Wu J. ↑,
76', 🟨,
83', Choe Won-Cheol ↓, Fall M. ↑,
83', Lee Seung-Jae ↓, Lee Rae-Jun ↑,
86', Lee Jun-Gyu 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone K League 2 (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheonan City won 3.
Recent performances by Cheonan City have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gimhae is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Cheonan City is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cheonan City won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheonan City won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
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Lee Seung-Kyu (G) 
Bruno Lamas 
Toungara A. 
Mikeltadze B. 
Ivanildo 
Fall M. 
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