Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.88	2.78
	2.63	2.87	2.92
	2.54	2.94	2.83	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.53	2.79	2.8
	2.57	2.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.17)	2.85 ↓ (3.07)	2.84 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
35.9%

Draw
32%

Numancia
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.5%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnástica Segoviana's form might have worsened.

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástica Segoviana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - Numancia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Numancia (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Numancia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 7).

G Segoviana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Numancia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, G Segoviana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, G Segoviana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Burgos Promesas - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Lealtad	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Real Oviedo B - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWLW
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.01.26	Numancia - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Rayo Cantabria - Numancia	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Numancia - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Numancia	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Numancia - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.09.25	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.01.24	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1
03.09.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Numancia	2:0
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Gimnástica Segoviana - Numancia	0:1

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