Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio 23 de Agosto (Jujuy)

Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)


	Gimnasia Jujuy		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.75
	1.93	3	4.1
	1.95	3.1	4	Watch
	2	3	4.59
	2	3	4.59
	1.91	3.1	4.2
	1.94	3.04	4.27
	1.97	3.05	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.01)	3.05 ↑ (2.9)	4.33 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Jujuy
47.8%

Draw
30.6%

Alvarado
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

31.6%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

30.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Jujuy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	66.7%	11.1%

Gimnasia Jujuy - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa A. (G) 4. Lopez D. 2. Osores M. 6. Cosaro G. 3. Rizzi F. 8. Juarez J. 7. Palavecino A. 5. Soria H. 11. Endrizzi E. 10. Rodriguez L. 9. Albertengo M.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Bettini M. 2. Robledo A. 6. Ortiz N. D. 3. Monzon L. 7. Sanchez G. 5. Leyes N. 8. Mansilla M. 11. Miori M. 10. Vadala G. 9. Belinetz O.
Substitutes
15. Abet A. 12. Bigo J. (G) 14. Camargo F. 17. Chiozza L. 16. Larralde V. 20. Menendez C. 19. Ortigoza I. 13. Palazzo B. 18. Rivero H.	14. Aleo A. 18. Boasso F. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 16. Jaurena S. 17. Makarte R. 15. Malagueno F. 20. Rebecchi L. 13. Tecilla N. 19. Torres S.
Coaches
Modolo M.	Giganti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Mansilla M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mansilla M. ↓, Jaurena S. ↑,
46', Miori M. ↓, Makarte R. ↑,
59', Monzon L. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,
64', Belinetz O. 🟨,
68', Leyes N. 🟨,
71', Juarez J. ↓, Abet A. ↑,
76', Albertengo M. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
79', Sanchez G. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
85', Vadala G. ↓, Rebecchi L. ↑,
86', Palavecino A. ↓, Camargo F. ↑,
86', Rodriguez L. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
90+1', Abet A. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Gimnasia Jujuy is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alvarado is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia Jujuy will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Jujuy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia Jujuy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.03.24	Racing de Córdoba - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - All Boys	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLLW
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.03.24	Alvarado - Güemes	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Aldosivi - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Racing de Córdoba - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Alvarado - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Tristán Suárez - Alvarado	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.07.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Alvarado	3:2

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