The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 45.4%
Draw 32.7%
Nueva Chicago 21.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
34.7%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
34.7%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patronato Parana's performance.
Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nueva Chicago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patronato Parana that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nueva Chicago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Patronato Parana - Nueva Chicago Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Nueva Chicago (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Patronato (votes: 1 - 50%). Nueva Chicago (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sosa A. (G) 5. Bravo F. 10. Cortes B. 2. Diaz G. 6. Meritello F. 11. Pereyra V. L. 3. Piccioni S. 9. Rivero H. 4. Rueda W. 8. Salas J. 7. Soldano F.
1. Masuero F. (G) 10. Ambrogio L. 9. Cocimano S. 3. Ferracutti G. 2. Gissi D. 5. Mendez E. 7. Ocampo T. 4. Palazzo B. 6. Paz G. 11. Petrecca N. 8. Ramirez R.
Substitutes
15. Barinaga J. P. 19. Barolin J. 16. Enrique M. 13. Evangelista F. 20. Giacinti I. 14. Heredia F. 18. Miro A. 17. Picco A. 12. Rivasseau F. (G)
13. Arroyo D. 19. Balbuena R. 20. Cardozo E. 12. Jachfe L. (G) 15. Rodriguez T. 18. Romero M. S. 16. Ruiz A. 17. Vega G. 14. Vera M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Cortes B. 🟨,
15', Palazzo B. 🟨,
18', Petrecca N. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Rueda W. ⚽, Meritello F. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Rivero H. ⚽, Soldano F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Rueda W. 🟨,
59', Ferracutti G. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
59', Palazzo B. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
59', Mendez E. ↓, Vega G. ↑,
59', Cocimano S. ↓, Romero M. S. ↑,
68', Rivero H. ↓, Barolin J. ↑,
69', Salas J. 🟨,
70', Petrecca N. ↓, Balbuena R. ↑,
72', Ocampo T. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Ambrogio L. ⚽, Ocampo T. (A),
85', Cortes B. ↓, Picco A. ↑,
85', Salas J. ↓, Miro A. ↑,
90+1', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Barinaga J. P. ↑,
90+1', Soldano F. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
90+1', Piccioni S. 🟨,
90+1', Gissi D. 🟨,
90+5', Gissi D. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Nueva Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Patronato is considered a favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
Watch
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Sosa A. (G) 
Cortes B. 
Gissi D. 
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