Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)


	Deportivo Maipú		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.95	3.05	3.95	Watch
	1.98	3.3	4.79
	1.93	3.15	4.38	Watch
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.89	3.24	4.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.96)	3.17 ↑ (3.11)	4.33 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maipú
48.9%

Draw
29.5%

Nueva Chicago
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

30.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

29.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Nueva Chicago aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galardi N. (G) 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 8. Bonfigli M. 3. de la Reta J. 10. Eggel M. (C) 4. Faggioli L. 9. Giacone J. 11. Gobetto J. 5. Mansilla G. 2. Paulini S. 7. Saccone F.	1. Masuero F. (G) 3. Ferracutti G. 7. Ocampo T. 4. Palazzo B. 6. Paz G. 5. Ramirez R. 8. Rodriguez T. 9. Romero M. S. 10. Vega G. 11. Vera M. 2. Zalazar R. E.
Substitutes
19. Cabrera L. 15. Fernandez N. 13. Leiva M. 17. Nazar 14. Ortale M. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 20. Rivarola F. 18. Silva T. 16. Vera J.	16. Ambrogio L. 19. Balbuena R. 15. Cardozo E. 13. Carrizo E. 17. Gonzalez A. 12. Jachfe L. (G) 18. Perez M. 20. Petrecca N. 14. Trindade G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Bonfigli M. 🟨,
30', Ocampo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Vera M. 🟨,
63', Palazzo B. 🟨,
66', Giacone J. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
66', Vega G. ↓, Ambrogio L. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Cabrera L. ⚽,
74', Ambrogio L. 🟨,
75', Ferracutti G. ↓, Trindade G. ↑,
75', Vera M. ↓, Petrecca N. ↑,
81', Ocampo T. ↓, Balbuena R. ↑,
81', Rodriguez T. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
82', Bonfigli M. ↓, Vera J. ↑,
90+3', Saccone F. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
90+5', Ramirez R. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Deportivo Maipú is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nueva Chicago is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Deportivo Maipú may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Maipú is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Maipú - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.69%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.05.26	Temperley - Deportivo Maipú	0:5 ✺
03.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo Maipú - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportivo Maipú - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WTWTW
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.26	Nueva Chicago - Club Almagro	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Patronato Parana - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Nueva Chicago - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Quilmes - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Nueva Chicago - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.09.22	Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago	1:0
11.10.21	Deportivo Maipú - Nueva Chicago	0:2
17.06.21	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Maipú	1:2

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