Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 25

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Gimnasia La Plata		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.25	2.75	2.05
	3.65	2.95	2.28
	3.76	3.09	2.25
	3.1	2.88	2.2
	3.58	3.13	2.18	Watch
	3.45	3	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.31)	2.99 ↓ (3.28)	2.2 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
26.6%

Draw
31.1%

Boca Juniors
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.7%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

27.5%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	36%	44%

Gimnasia La Plata - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Durso T. (G) 28. Barros Schelotto B. 4. Morales L. (C) 37. Sanchez F. 31. Bazzi M. 14. Bolivar A. 5. Miramon I. 26. Torres F. 11. Ramirez E. 7. Dominguez B. 27. Soldano F.	1. Romero S. (G) 57. Weigandt M. 4. Figal J. 15. Valentini N. 18. Fabra F. 8. Fernandez G. (C) 5. Varela A. 21. Fernandez I. 36. Medina C. 16. Miguel Merentiel 38. Vazquez L.
Substitutes
30. Castillo R. 6. Enrique G. 3. Gallo R. 24. Guiffrey G. 23. Insfran N. (G) 20. Lescano A. 29. Mammini I. 34. Mamut L. 19. Napolitano A. 2. Palazzo B. 42. Ramirez A. 15. Sanchez N.	17. Advincula L. 19. Barco V. 9. Benedetto D. 12. Brey L. (G) 29. Briasco N. 13. Garcia J. (G) 23. Gonzalez D. 20. Ramirez J. 10. Romero O. 2. Roncaglia F. 25. Valdez B. 7. Zeballos E.
Coaches
Romero S.	Almiron J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 2.

Gimnasia La Plata is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Boca Juniors is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Gimnasia La Plata have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Chavez L. (Injury) Guiffrey G. (Injury) Miranda M. (Injury)

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Zeballos E. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia La Plata won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.07.23	Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
07.07.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente	1:1 ✺
03.07.23	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia La Plata	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.06.23	Universitario de Deportes - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.06.23	Central Córdoba - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTLT
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.07.23	Boca Juniors - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
06.07.23	Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors	0:0 ✺
02.07.23	Boca Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.06.23	Boca Juniors - Monagas	4:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.06.23	Godoy Cruz - Boca Juniors	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.10.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Boca Juniors	1:2
30.10.21	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.02.21	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.03.20	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0
27.10.18	Gimnasia La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:1
Copa Argentina
27.09.18	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.05.18	Gimnasia La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:2

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