Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Lima)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)


	Universitario de Deportes		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.6
	1.75	3.4	5
	1.77	3.53	5.01
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.77	3.52	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.35	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.85)	3.4 ↑ (3.38)	4.74 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
52.8%

Draw
27.5%

Gimnasia La Plata
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.5%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

29.3%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	21.1%	21.1%

Universitario de Deportes - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carvallo J. (G) 29. Corzo A. (C) 3. Riveros W. 5. Di Benedetto M. 20. Valera A. 16. Perez M. 4. Barco A. 36. Quispe Cordova P. A. 14. Bolivar J. 15. Herrera E. 24. Polo A.	1. Durso T. (G) 28. Barros Schelotto B. 4. Morales L. 36. Mastrangelo D. 18. Colazo N. 5. Miramon I. 19. Napolitano A. 27. Soldano F. 20. Lescano A. 7. Dominguez B. 25. Tarragona C. (C)
Substitutes
26. Ancajima H. 10. Calcaterra H. 77. Celi Y. 30. Guzman P. 23. Murrugarra J. 17. Rivera J. 37. Rojas A. 21. Romero D. (G) 2. Saravia M. 25. Siucho Neira R. 7. Succar A. 11. Urruti L.	31. Bazzi M. 14. Bolivar A. 30. Castillo R. 6. Enrique G. 23. Insfran N. (G) 29. Mammini I. 34. Mamut L. 2. Palazzo B. 42. Ramirez A. 11. Ramirez E. 8. Steimbach A. 26. Torres F.
Coaches
Fossati J.	Romero S.

Preview

Universitario de Deportes is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gimnasia La Plata is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Universitario de Deportes have a series of guest games.

In this match Universitario de Deportes is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Universitario de Deportes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
22.06.23	Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Sport Huancayo - Universitario de Deportes	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.06.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
02.06.23	Universitario de Deportes - Cusco	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLWL
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.06.23	Central Córdoba - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
13.06.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.06.23	Goiás - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.06.23	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
05.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Universitario de Deportes	0:1

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