Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 4 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Quiroz L. (Ecu)


	Gimnasia La Plata		Goiás

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.95	3	2.45
	2.85	3	2.63
	3.19	3.05	2.48
	2.88	2.9	2.45
	3.04	3.14	2.42	Watch
	2.9	3.05	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.02)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	2.48 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
31.6%

Draw
30.6%

Goiás
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.4%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

29.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Goiás's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Goiás, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Gimnasia La Plata - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Goiás will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Gimnasia La Plata is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Goiás is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimnasia La Plata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Tigre	1:1 ✺
24.04.23	Argentinos Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata	2:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.04.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Belgrano	0:2 ✺
13.04.23	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWLLL
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
30.04.23	Internacional RS - Goiás	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Goiás - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Goiás	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.04.23	Athletico Paranaense - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.04.23	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLW

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