Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Independiente Santa Fe		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.61	3.6	5.75
	1.7	3.6	5.1
	1.61	3.79	6.09
	1.57	3.4	5.8
	1.62	3.72	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.98)	3.62 ↑ (3.24)	5.8 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
58%

Draw
25.9%

Gimnasia La Plata
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.4%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.2%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia La Plata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia La Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Independiente Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Santa Fe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia La Plata is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia La Plata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santa Fe is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
15.04.23	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
09.04.23	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Goiás - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
31.03.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTWL
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Belgrano	0:2 ✺
13.04.23	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Racing	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Universitario de Deportes	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.03.23	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLL

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