Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)


	Gimnasia La Plata		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.75	Watch
	2.65	3	2.7
	2.75	3.1	2.75
	2.8	3.11	2.82
	2.76	2.98	2.78	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.45)	3.02 ↑ (2.89)	2.76 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
34.5%

Draw
31.3%

Belgrano
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

32.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

32.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Gimnasia La Plata - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Belgrano will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Gimnasia La Plata has the most likely position - 24 (7.38%), project points - 31, currently - 11, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Belgrano has the most likely position - 15 (5.38%), project points - 38, currently - 18, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, very small importance 1, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Chavez L. (Injury) Guiffrey G. (Injury) Miranda M. (Injury)

There will not play in Belgrano: Barrea D. (Injury) Meriano N. (Injury) Oliver F. (Injury) Tapia I. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia La Plata won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.04.23	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Racing	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Universitario de Deportes	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.03.23	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	3:1 ✺
19.03.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLW
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.23	Belgrano - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano	0:3 ✺
03.04.23	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Godoy Cruz - Belgrano	3:1 ✺
11.03.23	Belgrano - Lanús	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.11.18	Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0
25.11.17	Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0
10.12.16	Gimnasia La Plata - Belgrano	1:1
10.04.16	Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata	3:0
30.05.15	Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
26.08.14	Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0
24.02.14	Gimnasia La Plata - Belgrano	2:2

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