Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		Independiente

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.1	1.91	Watch
	3.8	3	2.05
	4.35	3.05	1.98	Watch
	4.68	3.23	1.99
				Watch
	3.9	3	2.05
	4.29	3.25	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.57)	3.11 ↑ (3.02)	1.99 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
22%

Draw
30.5%

Independiente
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

31.4%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	20%	75%

Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Independiente will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Sarmiento (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Independiente (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Independiente (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Acosta L. (G) 17. Vallejos J. 14. Roncaglia F. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 39. Godoy J. 19. Contrera J. 25. Villalba C. 23. Gimenez E. 22. Gonzalez G. 11. Rodriguez S. 9. Ardaiz J.	33. Rey R. (G) 29. Godoy L. 26. Lomonaco K. 6. Freire N. 4. Vera F. 5. Loyola F. 23. Marcone I. 10. Cabral L. 17. Mazzantti W. 9. Avalos G. 7. Montiel S.
Substitutes
26. Arismendi Y. 1. Ayala T. (G) 33. Diaz G. 20. Frias F. 5. Garcia M. 29. Gomez J. 18. Morales I. 36. Morales S. 44. Orihuela R. 10. Paradela F. 34. Seyral A. 15. Suhr L.	1. Blazquez J. (G) 31. Bordon G. 39. de Irastorza J. 8. Galdames P. 16. Hidalgo S. 11. Mancuello F. 37. Medina J. 14. Millan L. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 19. Roman P. 28. Taborda E. 27. Tarzia D.
Coaches
Sanguinetti J.	Vaccari J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Villalba C. 🟨,
27', Cabral L. 🟨,
31', Avalos G. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Ardaiz J. ⚽, Gimenez E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 1 - 1, Avalos G. ⚽, Godoy L. (A),
55', 2 - 1, Gimenez E. ⚽, Ardaiz J. (A),
56', Vera F. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
65', Ardaiz J. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
65', Contrera J. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
65', Rodriguez S. ↓, Morales I. ↑,
65', Morales I. 🟨,
72', Marcone I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
77', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
80', Mazzantti W. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
80', Godoy L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Loyola F. ⚽, Mancuello F. (A),
84', Roncaglia F. ↓, Seyral A. ↑,
87', Villalba C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
90+2', Gomez J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.

Independiente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Independiente: Tarzia D. (Yellow Cards) Vera F. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Sarmiento: Borasi B. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.25	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Platense	0:1 ✺
14.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
09.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTLWL
- CA Independiente
Copa Argentina
29.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.25	Independiente - Nacional Potosí	7:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.05.25	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 penalties ✺
19.05.25	Boca Juniors - Independiente	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.25	Independiente - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.01.25	Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1
31.10.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente	0:0
09.06.23	Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0
12.09.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente	1:2
21.10.21	Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.03.21	Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín	6:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.10.16	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente	0:1

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