Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 22

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia La Plata		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	4.2	Watch
	2.05	3	4
	2.05	3.1	3.9	Watch
	2.12	3.1	4.3
	1.94	3.11	4.67	Watch
	2.01	3.24	4.07	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.19)	3.11 ↑ (2.97)	4.15 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
46.6%

Draw
30.6%

Newells Old Boys
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

32%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

30.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia La Plata: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ledesma M. (G) 15. Pintado J. 20. Cabral Y. 21. Martinez E. 18. Colazo N. 36. Garayalde N. 16. Max A. 10. De Blasis P. 19. Castro L. 30. Castillo R. 24. Merlo J.	1. Hoyos L. (G) 4. Schott A. 6. Salcedo S. 21. Vangioni L. 23. Martino A. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 41. Perez T. 19. Miljevic M. 10. Banega E. 24. Silvetti M. 9. Garcia J.
Substitutes
17. Blasi B. 14. Bolivar A. 28. Corbalan F. 35. Cortazzo J. 3. Gallo R. 23. Insfran N. (G) 34. Mamut L. 31. Primante S. 26. Rodriguez V. 11. Zalazar D.	46. Acuna V. 17. Carabajal G. 7. Cardozo F. 38. Chiaverano G. 44. Gonzalez F. 55. Jacob T. 42. Juarez A. 26. Mendez J. 29. Mihovilcevich L. 27. Perez Tica J. 30. Reinatti J. (G) 34. Sotelo D.
Coaches
Mendez M.	Lunari R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Castillo R. ⚽, Pintado J. (A),
13', Max A. 🟨,
18', Martino A. 🟨,
32', Merlo J. ↓, Primante S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Perez T. 🟨,
63', Martino A. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
64', Miljevic M. ↓, Sotelo D. ↑,
64', Perez T. ↓, Jacob T. ↑,
71', Vangioni L. 🟥,
71', Garayalde N. 🟥,
75', Max A. ↓, Bolivar A. ↑,
80', Colazo N. ↓, Mamut L. ↑,
80', Castro L. ↓, Gallo R. ↑,
81', De Blasis P. ↓, Zalazar D. ↑,
85', Jacob T. 🟨,
86', Garcia J. ↓, Chiaverano G. ↑,
86', Schott A. ↓, Perez Tica J. ↑,
90', Salcedo S. 🟨,
90+4', Martinez E. 🟨,
90+6', Perez Tica J. 🟨,
90+9', Cabral Y. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Gimnasia La Plata will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:13 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia La Plata won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:3 (average 1.5:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.11.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
01.11.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
28.10.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe	2:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
23.10.24	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLT
- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.11.24	Newells Old Boys - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:4 ✺
01.11.24	Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Newells Old Boys - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Godoy Cruz - Newells Old Boys	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Newells Old Boys - Lanús	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.07.23	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia La Plata	2:2
11.09.22	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys	3:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.10.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.04.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.10.19	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia La Plata	0:4
Argentinian Copa de la Superliga
21.04.19	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia La Plata	1:3

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