The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia La Plata 28.3%
Draw 32.9%
Unión Santa Fe 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
31.9%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
31.3%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
55.6%
33.3%
Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Unión will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 25%). Unión (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Unión (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 20%). Unión (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Insfran N. (G) 15. Pintado J. 4. Giampaoli R. 6. Suso G. (C) 14. Silva Torrejon P. 24. Merlo J. 18. Seoane M. 36. Garayalde N. 38. Panaro M. 32. Torres M. 11. Briasco N.
1. Tagliamonte M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 13. Fascendini V. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 16. Martinez M. 30. Pitton M. (C) 7. Fragapane F. 25. Tarragona C. 19. Estigarribia M.
Substitutes
19. Castro L. 2. Corbalan F. 5. Di Biasi F. 13. German Conti 1. Ingolotti L. (G) 9. Jan Hurtado 16. Max A. 8. Merlini B. 20. Perez J. 7. Piedrahita A. 10. Sosa A. 33. Villalba J.
4. Alvarez E. 21. Colazo A. 3. Corvalan C. 29. Diaz D. 14. Diaz F. 15. Durso T. (G) 18. Gamba L. 26. Luduena J. 17. Palavecino N. 32. Paz N. 24. Profini R. 23. Solari A.
Coaches
Orfila A.
Madelon L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Suso G. 🟨,
41', Garayalde N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Briasco N. ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Del Blanco M. ⚽, Tarragona C. (A),
48', Del Blanco M. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Torres M. ⚽, Seoane M. (A),
57', 1 - 2, Tarragona C. ⚽,
62', 1 - 3, Martinez M. ⚽,
64', Garayalde N. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
64', Merlo J. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
64', Panaro M. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
73', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
73', Estigarribia M. ↓, Gamba L. ↑,
74', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
79', Vargas L. 🟨,
82', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
83', Tarragona C. ↓, Colazo A. ↑,
83', Fragapane F. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
88', Martinez M. ↓, Profini R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Briasco N.
(Muscle Injury)
Mammini I.
(Knee Injury)
Melluso M.
(Muscle Injury)
Torres F.
(Knee Injury)
Villarreal S.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Unión: Pitton B.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez M.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Gimnasia La Plata - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Unión Santa Fe - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.63%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Insfran N. (G) 
Pintado J. 
Briasco N. 
Jan Hurtado 
Perez J. 
Diaz F. 
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