What is the expert prediction for San Lorenzo vs Independiente del Valle?

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San Lorenzo vs Independiente del Valle Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, January 19, 2025)

Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
World	Disney+


	San Lorenzo		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.45
	2.76	3.23	2.4
	2.8	3	2.45
	2.71	3.1	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.02)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	2.42 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Serie Rio de la Plata with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
33.4%

Draw
29.2%

Independiente del Valle
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente del Valle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gill O. (G) 21. Braida M. 7. Cerutti E. 9. Cuello A. 6. Herrera D. 2. Herrera E. 5. Irala E. 80. Muniain I. (C) 11. Reali M. 4. Romana J. 8. Tripichio N.	22. Villar G. (G) 6. Alcivar J. 14. Carabajal M. 13. Fernandez M. 11. Hoyos M. 19. Loor L. 9. Medina J. 7. Mercado P. 5. Schunke R. 18. Zabala C. 2. Zarate L.
Substitutes
15. Arias N. 3. Baez E. 17. Cecchini E. 12. Clemente M. (G) 14. Cordoba 18. Escalante V. 19. Insaurralde M. 20. Ladstatter A. 22. Salinardi B. 16. Vega J. 13. Zelaya M. A.	23. Bravo D. 15. Cortez G. 20. Garcia B. 8. Ibarra R. 30. Ibarra R. 32. Pata 4. Quinonez L. 1. Ramirez M. (G) 17. Rodriguez 51. Vasquez Y. 21. Vernaza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Mercado P. 🟨,
32', Medina J. 🟨,
37', Herrera D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Medina J. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
46', Zarate L. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
46', Villar G. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
46', Loor L. ↓, Cortez G. ↑,
46', Schunke R. ↓, Quinonez L. ↑,
46', Alcivar J. ↓, Bravo D. ↑,
46', Irala E. ↓, Insaurralde M. ↑,
61', Muniain I. ↓, Cecchini E. ↑,
61', Braida M. ↓, Baez E. ↑,
61', Cuello A. ↓, Salinardi B. ↑,
64', Mercado P. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
65', Fernandez M. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
69', Bravo D. 🟨,
70', Hoyos M. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
73', Reali M. ↓, Escalante V. ↑,
73', Cerutti E. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
85', Cortez G. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
7, (Pen),
7, (Pen),

Preview

Neutral location.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ind del Valle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently San Lorenzo have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.8:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Serie Rio de la Plata
16.01.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
13.01.25	Nacional Montevideo - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.12.24	San Lorenzo - Tigre	0:1 ✺
09.12.24	Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
04.12.24	River Plate - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLLT
- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.12.24	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Orense - Independiente del Valle	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
27.11.24	Independiente del Valle - El Nacional	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.11.24	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
09.05.24	San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle	2:0
10.04.24	Independiente del Valle - San Lorenzo	2:0
Club Friendly
15.01.23	Independiente del Valle - San Lorenzo	0:0
Copa Libertadores
27.03.14	Independiente del Valle - San Lorenzo	1:1
27.02.14	San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle	1:0

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