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Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo 33.4%
Draw 29.2%
Independiente del Valle 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
28.2%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
27.8%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente del Valle's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gill O. (G) 21. Braida M. 7. Cerutti E. 9. Cuello A. 6. Herrera D. 2. Herrera E. 5. Irala E. 80. Muniain I. (C) 11. Reali M. 4. Romana J. 8. Tripichio N.
22. Villar G. (G) 6. Alcivar J. 14. Carabajal M. 13. Fernandez M. 11. Hoyos M. 19. Loor L. 9. Medina J. 7. Mercado P. 5. Schunke R. 18. Zabala C. 2. Zarate L.
Substitutes
15. Arias N. 3. Baez E. 17. Cecchini E. 12. Clemente M. (G) 14. Cordoba 18. Escalante V. 19. Insaurralde M. 20. Ladstatter A. 22. Salinardi B. 16. Vega J. 13. Zelaya M. A.
23. Bravo D. 15. Cortez G. 20. Garcia B. 8. Ibarra R. 30. Ibarra R. 32. Pata 4. Quinonez L. 1. Ramirez M. (G) 17. Rodriguez 51. Vasquez Y. 21. Vernaza
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Mercado P. 🟨,
32', Medina J. 🟨,
37', Herrera D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Medina J. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
46', Zarate L. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
46', Villar G. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
46', Loor L. ↓, Cortez G. ↑,
46', Schunke R. ↓, Quinonez L. ↑,
46', Alcivar J. ↓, Bravo D. ↑,
46', Irala E. ↓, Insaurralde M. ↑,
61', Muniain I. ↓, Cecchini E. ↑,
61', Braida M. ↓, Baez E. ↑,
61', Cuello A. ↓, Salinardi B. ↑,
64', Mercado P. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
65', Fernandez M. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
69', Bravo D. 🟨,
70', Hoyos M. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
73', Reali M. ↓, Escalante V. ↑,
73', Cerutti E. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
85', Cortez G. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
7, (Pen),
7, (Pen),
Preview
Neutral location.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Ind del Valle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently San Lorenzo have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.8:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).
Argentina
Brazil
North-central-america
World
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Gill O. (G) 
Braida M. 
Muniain I. (C) 
Romana J. 
Alcivar J. 
Fernandez M. 
Cordoba 
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