The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vélez Sársfield 48.9%
Draw 29.8%
Atlético Tucumán 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
29.8%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48%
29.9%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
45.5%
9.1%
Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 3 - 50%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 14. Lagos A. 2. Mammana E. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. 26. Bouzat A. (C) 5. Baeza C. 11. Pellegrini M. 8. Galvan T. 20. Pizzini F. 9. Braian Romero
1. Mansilla M. (G) 4. Martinez D. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 13. Ortiz M. 33. Brizuela M. 5. Sanchez A. 45. Ortiz K. 30. Lopez K. 23. Lamendola N. 9. Bajamich M. 27. Diaz L.
Substitutes
23. Aliendro R. 43. Andrada I. 35. Arias M. 49. Dominguez D. 15. Godoy D. 12. Montero A. (G) 29. Monzon F. 19. Roldan L. 7. Santos M. 40. Silvero T. 10. Valdes D. 17. Veron A.
35. Abeldano G. 8. Acosta G. 28. Auzqui C. 29. Cabrera L. 6. Ferrari G. 10. Franco N. 21. Galvan I. 24. Godoy L. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 14. Grillo F. 22. Ruiz R. 3. Villa M.
Coaches
Barros Schelotto G.
Pusineri L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Sanchez A. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Bajamich M. ⚽,
31', Bouzat A. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Braian Romero ⚽, Pellegrini M. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Braian Romero ⚽, Galvan T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Pizzini F. 🟨,
60', Martinez D. 🟨,
64', Lopez K. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
64', Lamendola N. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
64', Martinez D. ↓, Villa M. ↑,
67', Pellegrini M. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
70', Baeza C. 🟨,
73', Bajamich M. ↓, Abeldano G. ↑,
78', Galvan T. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
78', Sanchez A. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
81', Franco N. 🟨,
84', Ortiz K. 🟨,
86', Bouzat A. ↓, Arias M. ↑,
87', Braian Romero ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
87', Pizzini F. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
90+1', Ortiz M. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, Valdes D. ⚽, Baeza C. (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Vélez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Vélez is the team to beat.
There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T.
(Injury)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Quiros A.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Calf Injury)
Infante J.
(Knee Injury)
Roman P.
(Inactive)
Tesuri R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Vélez: Gordon J.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
Argentina
Brazil
China
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
World
Watch
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Marchiori T. (G) 
Baeza C. 
Ferreira Namandu C. D. 
Montero A. (G) 
Santos M. 
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