Match Info

Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Jose Maria Paz (Chivilcoy)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy		Argentino Monte Maíz

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.36	5.77
	1.79	2.91	5.83	Watch
	1.7	3.36	5.42
	1.68	3.35	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)	5.46 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
54.7%

Draw
28.4%

Argentino Monte Maíz
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

27.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

26.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Argentino Monte Maíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Argentino Monte Maíz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Palleres T. (G) 10. Caseres F. 4. Dauria M. 2. Flores F. 3. Gallo M. 7. Gomez N. 5. Martinez G. 8. Medina R. 6. Robatto V. 11. Salvaggio M. (C) 9. Sosa G.	1. Bonet A. (G) 6. Amaya I. 8. Baier G. 3. Barbero M. 4. Coronas E. 7. Lasserre R. 9. Lentini R. 5. Lopez L. 10. Oballes P. 2. Vera H. 11. Vera M.
Substitutes
16. Ciavarelli I. 19. D'Amelio X. 13. Guglielmo A. 17. Gutierrez M. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 15. Iturrieta J. 14. Pavone N. 18. Piersigilli S. 20. Salinardi A. M.	17. Bassani J. 13. Canavesio F. 15. Correa M. 12. Cuesta J. (G) 18. Larrea L. 16. Moreyra P. 14. Perrig U. 20. Sarmiento G. 19. Tejada J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 🟨,
90+17', 🟨,
90+18', 🟨,
90+24', 0 - 1, Tejada J. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Argentino MM's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Argentino MM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.09.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWTW
- Argentino Monte Maíz
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.09.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Argentino Monte Maíz	3:2 ✺
01.09.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Costa Brava	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Villa Mitre - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Deportivo Rincón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW

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