The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy 64.2%
Draw 23.8%
El Linqueño 11.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.4%
24.8%
14.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.8%
22.5%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
El Linqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - El Linqueño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dormisch N. (G) 4. Dauria M. 3. Gallo M. 8. Gutierrez M. 5. Martinez G. 7. Medina R. 9. Morales E. 11. Salvaggio M. (C) 6. Samaniego L. 10. Visser B. 2. Zarate A.
1. Cuesta J. (G) 8. Colombi B. 5. Garcia Pereyra J. 9. Gutierrez J. C. 6. Levato T. 11. Mc Cormick A. 10. Meli F. 2. Ochoa M. 7. Pavon M. 4. Ramos A. 3. Veinticinco J.
Substitutes
17. Almada L. 16. D'Amelio X. 18. Fernandez V. 13. Fiol F. 14. Flores F. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 19. Millan J. 15. Pavone N. 20. Villamor G.
12. Atencio J. (G) 18. Cordoba N. 13. Coria J. 14. Juarez Lacoste N. 15. Luques J. 17. Macias L. 19. Quijada J. 16. Sequeyra J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Medina R. ⚽,
89', 🟥,
90', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
Gimnasia Chivilcoy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
El Linqueño's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Gimnasia Chivilcoy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy is the obvious favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Argentina
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Dormisch N. (G) 
Ochoa M. 
Pavon M. 
Quijada J. 
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