Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez (Concepción del Uruguay)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay		Defensores de Vilelas

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.60	5.25
	1.43	3.90	6.25
	1.57	3.25	5.12
	1.51	3.75	6.31	Watch
	1.55	3.20	5.05
	1.56	3.42	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.75)	3.52 ↑ (3.1)	5.66 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
58.7%

Draw
25.4%

Defensores de Vilelas
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

28.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

28.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay's performance.

Defensores de Vilelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Vilelas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rebora E. (G) 5. Altamirano L. 11. Bogado M. 4. Casares J. 10. Germanier N. 6. Laumann F. 8. Lebus N. 2. Palladino T. 3. Rocca F. 7. Rodriguez J. 9. Sonzogni A.	1. Ledesma L. (G) 2. Berlo B. 11. Canario J. 9. Carballo G. 4. Fernandez F. 3. Molina N. 8. Montenegro R. 6. Navarro L. 10. Niz L. 5. Remotti L. 7. Rios G.
Substitutes
15. Arraigada A. 20. Baltore D. 12. Baro R. 17. Dening L. 19. Favre A. 18. Garcia A. 13. Olague R. 14. Suarez N. 16. Valle T.	17. Acevedo J. 15. Acevedo M. 20. Canete G. 14. Farias F. 12. Ferreyra M. (G) 19. Larrasabal L. 18. Moreno G. 13. Turraca J. 16. Vargas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Navarro L. 🟨,
19', Berlo B. 🟨,
30', Remotti L. 🟥,
34', 1 - 0, Palladino T. ⚽,
38', Niz L. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Bogado M. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sonzogni A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
49', Fernandez F. 🟥,
56', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
69', 🟨,

Preview

Gimnasia y Esgrima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Def de Vilelas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Def de Vilelas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gimnasia y Esgrima is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Tucuman Central	4:0 ✺
26.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - El Linqueño	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - 9 de Julio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWLTW
- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Tucuman Central	4:3 ✺
08.08.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Vilelas	0:0 ✺
03.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	4:1 ✺
12.07.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Vilelas	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWLW

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