Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez (Concepción del Uruguay)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay		Independiente Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	1.83	2.90	4.33
	1.75	3.10	4.50
	1.83	2.90	4.55
	1.83	3.02	4.75	Watch
	1.80	2.85	4.50
	1.90	3.03	4.74
	1.80	2.90	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.73)	2.96 ↓ (3.2)	4.53 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
49.6%

Draw
30.5%

Independiente Chivilcoy
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rebora E. (G) 5. Altamirano L. 11. Bogado M. 4. Casares J. 8. Favre A. 10. Germanier N. 6. Laumann F. 2. Palladino T. 3. Rocca F. 7. Rodriguez J. 9. Vila L.	1. Cordero M. (G) 3. Acuna L. 5. D'Annunzio N. 4. Gimenez R. 7. Hernandez Castro T. J. 10. Perez F. 8. Ramirez U. 9. Retamozo L. 11. Soriano V. 6. Torres D. 2. Vera A.
Substitutes
15. Arraigada A. 17. Baltore D. 12. Baro R. 20. Dening L. 19. Garcia A. 16. Lebus N. 18. Marquez E. 13. Olague R. 14. Suarez N.	13. Borgognoni G. 14. Caceres E. 15. Funes F. 18. Luciano 17. Mast T. 16. Mendoza D. 12. Posik I. (G) 20. Rodriguez L. 19. Romero F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟨,
74', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 1.

Gimnasia y Esgrima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ind Chivilcoy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Gimnasia y Esgrima is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Tucuman Central	4:0 ✺
26.07.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - El Linqueño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWTWL
- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Tucuman Central	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
12.08.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Boca Unidos - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0
11.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:1
08.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Independiente Chivilcoy	3:0
06.04.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	3:0
08.09.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	3:2
01.06.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0
07.04.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	3:0

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