Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 23

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	5.75
	1.72	3.25	4.8
	1.8	3.2	5
	1.8	3.22	5.48
	1.75	2.9	5.5
	1.81	3.1	5.5	Watch
	1.76	3.25	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.94)	3.17 ↑ (2.94)	5.28 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
52.8%

Draw
29.5%

Alvarado
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

30.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

30.1%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza's performance.

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	40%	13.3%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Alvarado will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia Mendoza: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Olivarez S. 6. Padilla M. 3. Recalde M. 8. Lopez S. 5. Villarruel L. 10. Castro R. 11. Seratto R. 7. Romano N. 9. Herrera W. A.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Ortiz N. D. 2. Robledo A. 6. Irazoque A. 3. Ihitz N. 5. Vitale J. 11. Vadala G. 8. Malagueno F. 10. Fernandez J. L. 9. Albertengo M. 7. Ramirez S.
Substitutes
14. Acosta F. 15. Antonio I. 18. Esposito G. 13. Gutierrez A. 17. Herrera H. 12. Humeler K. (G) 20. Juncos J. 19. Nouet M. 16. Puch J.	19. Barbieri M. 13. Berra T. 16. Boasso F. 14. Lacunza L. 17. Lamardo G. 12. Lobelos J. (G) 18. Makarte R. 15. Olivera L. 20. Rebecchi L.
Coaches
Sastre J.	Martinez J. M.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 3.

Gimnasia Mendoza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alvarado is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimnasia Mendoza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gimnasia Mendoza is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia Mendoza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.06.23	Deportivo Flandria - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
18.06.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Martín de San Juan	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2 ✺
26.05.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWLWW
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.06.23	Alvarado - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
09.06.23	San Martín de San Juan - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	Defensores Unidos - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
28.05.23	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Alvarado	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.02.23	Alvarado - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1
29.05.22	Alvarado - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0
15.08.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Alvarado	2:0
05.04.21	Alvarado - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.02.18	Alvarado - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2
01.04.17	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Alvarado	2:1

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