Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 19

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Referee: Delbarba J. (Arg)


	Defensores Unidos		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.75
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.05	2.8	4
	2.2	2.92	4.02
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	2.12	3.15	3.72
	2.11	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.64)	2.99 ↓ (3.44)	3.76 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
44.1%

Draw
31.1%

Alvarado
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

26.5%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.4%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores Unidos's form might have worsened.

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvarado's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvarado, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Defensores Unidos - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Laumann F. 6. Zadel D. 3. Mbombaj G. 8. Gomez B. 5. Nizzo M. 7. Disanto L. 11. Garcia B. 10. Gimenez M. 9. Velazquez J.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 7. Lacunza L. 6. Robledo A. 2. Berra T. 4. Ortiz N. D. 3. Ihitz N. 5. Bellocq F. 8. Lamardo G. 10. Fernandez J. L. 11. Vadala G. 9. Ramirez S.
Substitutes
14. Alarcon N. 12. Aquino M. (G) 19. Bellido T. 16. Echague H. 13. Morales A. 18. Nunez D. 15. Ortigoza M. 20. Osuna L. 17. Palazuelos B.	14. Arias J. 18. Barbieri M. 19. Bolanos E. 20. Gularte S. 13. Irazoque A. 12. Lobelos J. (G) 17. Makarte R. 15. Olivera L. 16. Pertierra M.
Coaches
Davio S.	Nartallo O.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Defensores Unidos will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.05.23	Deportivo Flandria - Defensores Unidos	0:2 ✺
20.05.23	Defensores Unidos - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
07.05.23	Guillermo Brown - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
29.04.23	Defensores Unidos - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLWL
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.05.23	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Alvarado	3:1 ✺
14.05.23	Alvarado - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
06.05.23	San Telmo - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Alvarado - Temperley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTTL

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