Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 7

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	6	Watch
	1.7	3.1	5.25
	1.68	3.2	6	Watch
	1.71	3.39	6.07
	1.69	3.39	6.07
	1.65	3.2	5.8
	1.68	3.24	5.73	Watch
	1.69	3.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)	3.29 ↑ (3.19)	5.79 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
55.5%

Draw
28.4%

Almirante Brown
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

29.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

29.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	14.3%	4.8%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: Gimnasia y Tiro will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. 2. Neira E. 6. Abello D. 3. Sanabria I. 8. Chaves A. 5. Birge R. 11. Villarreal R. 10. Busse W. (C) 7. Rojas F. 9. Gordillo L.	1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Acosta N. 2. Mino F. 6. Quiroz L. 3. Rodriguez F. 8. Barrionuevo K. 5. Cenci B. 10. Almada T. 7. Diaz T. 9. Bonacci P. 11. Rivero G.
Substitutes
19. Araujo A. 15. Chamorro R. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 17. Duarte B. 18. Esparza M. 20. Fernandez E. 14. Galetto J. 16. Narese E. 13. Rosales J.	14. Abreliano M. 19. Escurra J. 18. Fernandez B. 12. Ferreyra N. (G) 16. Guzman L. 17. Maidana A. 13. Olivarez S. 20. Stable F. 15. Villarruel L.
Coaches
Forestello R.	Alonso R. S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chaves A. ↓, Narese E. ↑,
46', Barrionuevo K. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
68', Acosta N. ↓, Abreliano M. ↑,
68', Almada T. ↓, Escurra J. ↑,
68', Diaz T. ↓, Maidana A. ↑,
77', Chaves I. F. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
77', Villarreal R. ↓, Araujo A. ↑,
82', Quiroz L. ↓, Olivarez S. ↑,
90', Abreliano M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).

Recent matches Gimnasia y Tiro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almirante Brown is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia y Tiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gimnasia y Tiro is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Copa Argentina
15.03.24	Argentinos Juniors - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.03.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWTW
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.03.24	Almirante Brown - Mitre	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Aldosivi - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Colón - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Almirante Brown - Tristán Suárez	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Almirante Brown - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLLL

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