Match Info

Date: 28 August 2022, Sunday


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Atlético Paraná

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.8
	1.54	3.6	5.2
	1.61	3.55	4.8
	1.53	3.66	5.33
	1.57	3.65	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.45)	3.59 ↓ (3.74)	5.09 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
57.3%

Draw
25%

Atlético Paraná
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

24.2%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

23.1%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia y Tiro's form might have worsened.

Atlético Paraná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia y Tiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paraná than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlético Paraná Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 14).

Gimnasia y Tiro is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atlético Paraná is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Paraná could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gimnasia y Tiro is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.08.22	Unión de Sunchales - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
14.08.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Tiro	4:0 ✺
31.07.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
24.07.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLWW
- Club Atlético Paraná
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.08.22	Atlético Paraná - Unión de Sunchales	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Atlético Paraná	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Atlético Paraná - General San Martín de Formosa	0:1 ✺
05.08.22	Central Norte - Atlético Paraná	0:1 ✺
30.07.22	Atlético Paraná - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.05.22	Atlético Paraná - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0

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